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Quarterfinal 1-12018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red443
176161.4
230188.2
512994.1
Blue304
999118.1
237155.3
4055143.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722830100200500600700443304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.21.0
181.8→182.9
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 32.9
237
#10
155.30.6
154.1→154.7
Auto19.0
Teleop118.9
End21.5
Second
176
#7
161.40.4
158.1→158.5
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 18.1
4055
#18
143.30.7
144.7→144.0
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
Third
5129
#32
94.10.0
93.1→93.1
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 24.0
999
#25
118.10.5
117.1→117.6
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5