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Red415
176161.4
230188.2
512994.1
Blue298
558134.3
3461166.3
4097123.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352307100200400500600415298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.21.0
183.9184.9
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 21.9
166.31.1
164.2165.3
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
Second
176
#7
161.40.5
159.0159.5
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 27.1
558
#14
134.30.3
133.8134.1
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Third
5129
#32
94.10.1
93.193.3
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 29.8
4097
#26
123.90.0
123.9123.9
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4