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Quarterfinal 2-12018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red458
558134.3
3461166.3
4097123.9
Blue319
2067143.8
4557165.7
3464124.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357325100200300400500600458319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#4
166.31.0
162.1→163.1
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 0.6
4557
#6
165.70.5
164.7→165.2
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
Second
558
#14
134.30.1
133.4→133.6
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
blue by 9.5
2067
#11
143.80.5
142.9→143.3
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
Third
4097
#26
123.90.2
124.1→123.9
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 0.9
3464
#21
124.90.2
125.3→125.1
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4