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Semifinal 2-12018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red328
236148.7
3314158.8
1676122.9
Blue355
5856141.9
177173.1
5142126.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323349100200400500600328355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#2
158.80.3
158.3→158.5
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
blue by 14.3
177
#3
173.10.7
170.2→171.0
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
Second
236
#12
148.70.8
147.0→147.8
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
red by 6.7
5856
#5
141.90.6
139.7→140.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Third
1676
#24
122.90.2
122.4→122.6
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
blue by 3.9
5142
#22
126.70.1
126.8→126.8
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4