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Red253
3464124.9
4097123.9
177173.1
Blue296
3182126.2
2067143.8
4055143.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763060100200400500600253296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.16.9
114.3121.2
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 29.3
2067
#11
143.86.8
123.6130.4
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
Second
3464
#21
124.95.1
109.4114.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4
blue by 18.5
4055
#18
143.39.5
111.9121.4
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
Third
4097
#26
123.99.5
91.5100.9
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 2.2
3182
#13
126.210.0
85.495.3
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed