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Red305
1699138.7
3314158.8
230188.2
Blue302
1676122.9
4557165.7
228160.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632800100200400500600700800305302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.210.2
146.4156.6
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 22.5
165.79.3
101.7111.0
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
Second
158.87.9
119.0126.9
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
blue by 1.9
228
#9
160.79.0
116.2125.2
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
Third
138.711.5
103.5115.0
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
red by 15.8
1676
#24
122.95.9
119.8125.6
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed