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Red417
177173.1
4055143.3
3461166.3
Blue122
236148.7
571130.2
1124127.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328271100200300400500600417122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.15.0
121.2126.2
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 24.5
236
#12
148.71.4
118.2119.6
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
Second
166.36.4
110.3116.7
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 36.0
571
#17
130.26.1
98.0104.1
Auto16.7
Teleop100.2
End11.3
Third
4055
#18
143.38.0
121.4129.4
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
red by 15.9
1124
#30
127.57.5
119.6127.1
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed