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Red310
1676122.9
176161.4
6723114.9
Blue231
4572121.7
7266107.5
5856141.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288295150200250350400450310231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
161.47.0
118.3125.4
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 19.5
141.910.8
101.6112.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Second
1676
#24
122.94.1
125.6129.7
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
red by 1.1
4572
#28
121.78.7
102.7111.4
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
Third
6723
#20
114.90.1
108.9108.8
Auto15.3
Teleop80.0
End19.0
red by 7.4
7266
#27
107.56.9
92.399.2
Auto13.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed