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Red282
237155.3
3464124.9
5142126.7
Blue314
3525118.6
512994.1
4557165.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232360100200400500600282314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#10
155.310.1
106.4116.5
Auto19.0
Teleop118.9
End21.5
blue by 10.4
165.76.4
111.0117.4
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
Second
5142
#22
126.78.4
103.6112.0
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
red by 8.1
3525
#23
118.69.2
90.9100.2
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End16.7
Third
3464
#21
124.93.8
114.5118.3
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4
red by 30.7
5129
#32
94.13.4
93.096.4
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed