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Red193
50195.9
999118.1
4097123.9
Blue310
3314158.8
2067143.8
558134.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266328100200300400500600193310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4097
#26
123.96.7
100.9107.7
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 34.9
158.84.5
126.9131.4
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
Second
999
#25
118.17.5
125.2132.7
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5
blue by 25.7
2067
#11
143.86.2
130.4136.6
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
Third
501
#31
95.91.6
111.2109.6
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End9.1
blue by 38.5
558
#14
134.30.0
126.0126.0
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed