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Qual 202018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red456
1085110.5
4557165.7
177173.1
Blue283
3525118.6
5856141.9
176161.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288305150200250350400450500456283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.15.6
126.2→131.7
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 11.7
176
#7
161.44.8
125.4→130.1
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
Second
4557
#6
165.77.0
117.4→124.4
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
red by 23.8
5856
#5
141.95.9
112.3→118.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Third
1085
#29
110.56.3
95.5→101.8
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.7
blue by 8.1
3525
#23
118.68.8
100.2→109.0
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed