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Red276
1676122.9
230188.2
1099142.0
Blue184
558134.3
5142126.7
1124127.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742530100200300500600276184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.26.0
156.6162.6
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 53.9
558
#14
134.30.2
126.0125.8
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Second
1099
#19
142.07.5
120.6128.1
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
red by 14.5
1124
#30
127.52.4
127.1129.5
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
Third
1676
#24
122.92.9
129.7132.6
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
blue by 3.9
5142
#22
126.76.5
112.0118.5
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed