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Qual 242018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red272
3314158.8
4055143.3
2170124.7
Blue324
176161.4
1085110.5
237155.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310312200250350400450272324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#2
158.84.8
134.2→138.9
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
blue by 2.6
176
#7
161.44.5
130.1→134.7
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
Second
4055
#18
143.32.3
136.9→139.2
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
blue by 12.0
237
#10
155.33.2
124.1→127.4
Auto19.0
Teleop118.9
End21.5
Third
2170
#16
124.71.4
121.4→120.1
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
red by 14.2
1085
#29
110.58.5
101.8→110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed