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Qual 252018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red150
228160.7
4097123.9
7266107.5
Blue459
5142126.7
1699138.7
3461166.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693050100200400500600150459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#9
160.76.2
131.4→137.6
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
blue by 5.6
3461
#4
166.36.3
123.1→129.4
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
Second
4097
#26
123.92.6
111.0→113.6
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 14.8
1699
#8
138.71.3
127.9→129.3
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
Third
7266
#27
107.52.0
102.5→104.5
Auto13.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
blue by 19.2
5142
#22
126.72.3
118.5→120.8
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed