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Red355
1699138.7
228160.7
4572121.7
Blue156
3525118.6
1124127.5
999118.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350267100200300400500355156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#9
160.75.3
139.4144.7
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
red by 33.2
1124
#30
127.51.5
127.7129.1
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
Second
138.73.0
133.2136.2
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
red by 20.0
3525
#23
118.62.6
121.4124.0
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End16.7
Third
4572
#28
121.73.2
119.4122.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
red by 3.6
999
#25
118.15.9
134.6128.8
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed