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Qual 382018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red300
177173.1
558134.3
7266107.5
Blue263
2170124.7
236148.7
1099142.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318295200250350400450300263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.18.4
146.4→154.8
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 24.5
236
#12
148.75.6
126.5→132.1
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
Second
558
#14
134.33.4
123.0→126.5
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
blue by 7.6
1099
#19
142.04.0
137.9→141.9
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
Third
7266
#27
107.52.8
105.1→107.9
Auto13.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
blue by 17.3
2170
#16
124.71.1
119.7→118.5
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed