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Red170
3182126.2
3525118.6
50195.9
Blue398
999118.1
228160.7
571130.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232345100200300400500170398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3182
#13
126.22.2
119.4121.7
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
blue by 34.5
228
#9
160.74.5
144.7149.3
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
Second
3525
#23
118.61.5
124.0122.5
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End16.7
blue by 11.6
571
#17
130.24.3
112.4116.7
Auto16.7
Teleop100.2
End11.3
Third
501
#31
95.93.1
105.1102.0
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End9.1
blue by 22.3
999
#25
118.16.7
128.8122.1
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed