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Qual 42018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red193
571130.2
177173.1
512994.1
Blue275
4557165.7
3314158.8
3461166.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269321100200400500193275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.113.1
101.1→114.3
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 6.8
3461
#4
166.314.7
86.2→100.9
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
Second
571
#17
130.216.2
72.9→89.1
Auto16.7
Teleop100.2
End11.3
blue by 35.5
4557
#6
165.714.6
87.1→101.7
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
Third
5129
#32
94.116.9
66.7→83.6
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 64.7
3314
#2
158.812.6
106.4→119.0
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed