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Red222
1085110.5
2067143.8
1124127.5
Blue301
1099142.0
4055143.3
228160.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297306100150200250350400450500222301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#11DQ
143.812.0
111.5123.6
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
blue by 16.9
228
#9
160.714.1
92.1106.2
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
Second
1124
#30DQ
127.513.4
98.5111.9
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
blue by 15.9
4055
#18
143.313.4
98.5111.9
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
Third
1085
#29DQ
110.531.8
109.577.7
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.7
blue by 31.4
1099
#19
142.014.7
86.8101.4
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed