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Red354
181136.7
5142126.7
176161.4
Blue105
3464124.9
2170124.7
558134.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280327100200400500354105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
161.47.9
110.4118.3
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 27.1
558
#14
134.36.1
120.0126.0
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Second
181
#15
136.714.6
87.7102.2
Auto16.4
Teleop100.9
End22.9
red by 11.8
3464
#21
124.913.7
95.7109.4
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4
Third
5142
#22
126.710.1
93.4103.6
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
red by 2.0
2170
#16
124.712.5
103.9116.4
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed