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Red377
3461166.3
230188.2
5856141.9
Blue243
177173.1
176161.4
1699138.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3363540100200300400500600700800377243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.23.2
166.5169.7
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 15.1
177
#3
173.15.7
154.8160.5
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
Second
166.35.8
143.9149.7
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 4.8
176
#7
161.45.7
145.1150.9
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
Third
141.92.2
128.0130.2
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
red by 3.3
138.73.1
136.2139.3
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed