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Red314
1124127.5
4557165.7
2170124.7
Blue316
4055143.3
4097123.9
1676122.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313306150200250350400450500314316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.74.9
148.0153.0
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
red by 22.4
4055
#18
143.32.3
143.8146.1
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
Second
1124
#30
127.52.2
129.1126.9
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
red by 3.6
4097
#26
123.93.8
114.2118.0
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
Third
2170
#16
124.70.6
116.9117.5
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
red by 1.9
1676
#24
122.93.2
128.0124.8
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed