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Red202
5142126.7
4572121.7
1099142.0
Blue587
230188.2
236148.7
181136.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256374100200300400500600202587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#19
142.01.8
141.9143.7
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
blue by 46.3
230
#1
188.22.5
169.7172.2
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
Second
5142
#22
126.70.6
131.5130.9
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
blue by 21.9
236
#12
148.72.8
132.1134.9
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
Third
4572
#28
121.70.1
125.7125.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
blue by 15.0
181
#15
136.72.8
126.1128.9
Auto16.4
Teleop100.9
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed