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Qual 452018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red339
1085110.5
3461166.3
4097123.9
Blue285
4557165.7
6723114.9
1699138.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324323280300340360380339285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#4
166.34.1
149.7→153.8
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 0.6
4557
#6
165.74.2
153.0→157.1
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
Second
4097
#26
123.92.9
118.0→120.9
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 14.8
1699
#8
138.70.2
139.3→139.5
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
Third
1085
#29
110.50.5
114.9→114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.7
blue by 4.3
6723
#20
114.91.6
111.5→113.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.0
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed