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Red427
5856141.9
181136.7
177173.1
Blue224
50195.9
236148.7
1699138.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377242100200300500600427224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.12.1
165.7167.8
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 24.5
236
#12
148.73.1
141.5144.6
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
Second
141.91.1
136.8138.0
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
red by 3.3
138.70.8
139.5138.8
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
Third
181
#15
136.71.0
133.9134.9
Auto16.4
Teleop100.9
End22.9
red by 40.8
501
#31
95.90.3
96.295.9
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed