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Qual 102018 Curie Division
Red438
45124.9
5687197.6
4405179.2
Blue130
2067160.2
1718176.7
5712162.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350378150200250300400450500438130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#11
197.60.8
203.3→202.5
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
red by 20.9
1718
#15
176.71.0
180.3→181.4
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
4405
#9
179.21.2
170.8→172.0
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 16.6
5712
#31
162.60.3
166.4→166.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Third
45
#58
124.91.4
133.4→132.0
Auto18.4
Teleop90.8
End13.2
blue by 35.3
2067
#18
160.20.0
163.3→163.3
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed71%Face the Boss oddsMissed