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Red334
2638167.4
1599176.3
5460196.6
Blue343
6401137.2
3244163.0
2052183.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420323100200500600700334343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#32
196.60.8
198.1199.0
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
red by 13.3
2052
#23
183.31.3
184.1185.4
Auto26.2
Teleop137.5
End19.7
Second
1599
#39
176.31.4
166.1167.5
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
red by 13.4
3244
#19
163.03.6
149.4153.0
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
Third
2638
#28
167.41.1
170.5171.5
Auto18.0
Teleop124.5
End24.9
red by 30.2
6401
#56
137.20.3
129.4129.7
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned