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Red277
1741187.6
1025182.2
4099136.7
Blue337
4903165.5
2826168.7
3707209.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423820200600800277337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
187.60.1
182.7182.8
Auto22.7
Teleop133.0
End32.3
blue by 21.8
209.40.7
203.1202.4
Auto23.6
Teleop152.3
End34.2
Second
1025
#41
182.20.3
180.1180.4
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
red by 13.5
2826
#34
168.70.7
161.5162.2
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
Third
4099
#62
136.71.7
134.7136.4
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
blue by 28.9
4903
#38
165.50.2
174.1173.9
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsMissed