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Red211
6032131.5
5712162.6
167170.3
Blue465
5460196.6
7198132.8
230217.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934190100200500600211465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#51
170.30.1
175.1175.2
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
blue by 47.5
230
#6
217.81.8
217.7215.9
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
5712
#31
162.61.2
164.4163.2
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
blue by 34.0
5460
#32
196.60.6
199.3198.7
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Third
6032
#66
131.50.1
132.4132.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.0
End11.6
blue by 1.4
7198
#44
132.81.7
126.6128.3
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed63%Face the Boss oddsMissed