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Qual 362018 Curie Division
Red295
263160.8
2601144.7
2826168.7
Blue435
236155.5
126149.2
1599176.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341343250300400450295435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#34
168.70.6
164.0→164.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
blue by 7.6
1599
#39
176.30.6
169.3→169.8
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
Second
263
#22
160.80.4
158.5→158.9
Auto18.9
Teleop123.1
End21.9
red by 5.3
236
#17
155.50.4
147.3→147.7
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
Third
2601
#49
144.70.3
142.7→143.0
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
blue by 4.5
126
#26
149.21.3
141.9→143.2
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned