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Red203
503176.4
1071152.4
7021178.4
Blue460
1741187.6
910165.0
3452201.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3274000100200500600700203460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#54
178.40.4
177.8178.2
Auto20.7
Teleop140.7
End17.3
blue by 23.0
201.40.7
193.8194.5
Auto20.3
Teleop148.0
End31.2
Second
503
#47
176.40.1
180.0180.2
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
blue by 11.2
1741
#16
187.60.1
182.6182.6
Auto22.7
Teleop133.0
End32.3
Third
1071
#21
152.40.6
152.7153.3
Auto19.3
Teleop112.5
End23.5
blue by 12.6
910
#33
165.00.6
157.3157.9
Auto22.1
Teleop129.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed52%Face the Boss oddsEarned