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Red269
1025182.2
4903165.5
2175173.8
Blue414
5687197.6
5553145.2
302202.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3304060200600800269414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#41
182.20.6
180.4179.7
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
blue by 20.7
302
#25
202.90.7
208.3207.6
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
Second
2175
#40
173.81.2
170.1171.3
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End25.6
blue by 23.9
5687
#11
197.60.7
202.5201.8
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
Third
4903
#38
165.50.8
173.6172.8
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
red by 20.4
5553
#27
145.20.9
139.7140.6
Auto17.9
Teleop108.1
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned33%Face the Boss oddsMissed