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Red297
4384153.3
379190.9
4607138.5
Blue432
5205143.8
4099136.7
1684185.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4062650200600800297432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#50
190.90.4
195.4195.7
Auto23.7
Teleop138.9
End24.7
red by 5.2
1684
#10
185.80.5
172.1171.6
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Second
4384
#30
153.31.0
144.7145.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
red by 9.5
5205
#24
143.80.0
136.3136.3
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Third
4607
#65
138.50.1
140.5140.5
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
red by 1.8
4099
#62
136.70.7
134.0134.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed