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Red224
503176.4
316182.3
5907163.7
Blue380
5553145.2
3707209.4
70177.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37035402006008001,0001,200224380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#45
182.30.3
187.7187.4
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
blue by 27.1
209.41.3
204.4203.1
Auto23.6
Teleop152.3
End34.2
Second
503
#47
176.40.4
182.2181.7
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
blue by 1.4
70
#13
177.80.0
182.5182.5
Auto21.8
Teleop135.4
End17.3
Third
5907
#42
163.70.9
169.8168.9
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
red by 18.6
5553
#27
145.21.6
134.7136.3
Auto17.9
Teleop108.1
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsEarned