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Red386
4903165.5
3538209.8
126149.2
Blue284
230217.8
167170.3
333160.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310431100200500600700800386284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.80.4
204.6204.3
Auto23.0
Teleop159.4
End29.6
blue by 7.9
230
#6
217.80.3
220.9220.6
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
4903
#38
165.50.8
174.8174.1
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
blue by 4.7
167
#51
170.30.9
174.8175.7
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
Third
126
#26
149.20.9
139.1140.0
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
blue by 11.6
333
#64
160.82.0
158.8160.8
Auto22.3
Teleop121.3
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed