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Red384
316182.3
7250129.1
126149.2
Blue279
5804153.1
195232.2
4903165.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2684410100200300400500600700384279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#45
182.30.9
183.2182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
blue by 50.0
195
#2
232.20.8
237.4236.6
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End33.2
Second
126
#26
149.21.9
143.2145.1
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
blue by 16.4
4903
#38
165.50.7
172.8172.1
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
Third
7250
#63
129.10.8
128.3127.5
Auto20.1
Teleop90.9
End18.7
blue by 24.0
5804
#46
153.10.6
157.9158.5
Auto18.7
Teleop122.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned69%Face the Boss oddsMissed