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Qual 512018 Curie Division
Red244
1718176.7
6175129.9
1071152.4
Blue431
4814138.4
5460196.6
379190.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2814360100200400500600700244431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
176.70.3
179.1→178.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
blue by 19.8
5460
#32
196.60.2
198.7→198.5
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
1071
#21
152.40.7
153.3→152.6
Auto19.3
Teleop112.5
End23.5
blue by 38.6
379
#50
190.90.4
195.1→194.7
Auto23.7
Teleop138.9
End24.7
Third
6175
#61
129.90.1
129.4→129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End16.0
blue by 8.5
4814
#57
138.40.7
142.8→142.1
Auto18.9
Teleop105.9
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned57%Face the Boss oddsMissed