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Red259
302202.9
2052183.3
4342169.0
Blue408
4607138.5
4655173.0
1747198.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953330100200500600700259408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#25
202.90.4
207.6207.2
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
red by 4.6
1747
#12
198.30.3
193.9194.2
Auto24.7
Teleop150.7
End24.2
Second
2052
#23
183.30.3
188.4188.1
Auto26.2
Teleop137.5
End19.7
red by 10.3
4655
#60
173.00.3
172.6172.3
Auto20.5
Teleop130.1
End22.3
Third
4342
#59
169.00.1
174.9174.8
Auto23.4
Teleop113.4
End34.3
red by 30.5
4607
#65
138.50.2
140.3140.1
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed