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Red192
3324137.1
7103142.7
4099136.7
Blue476
3538209.8
3314176.6
503176.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304710100200300400600192476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#48
142.70.9
141.4142.3
Auto19.6
Teleop105.5
End19.8
blue by 67.1
209.80.1
204.7204.8
Auto23.0
Teleop159.4
End29.6
Second
3324
#43
137.11.5
130.6132.1
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End22.1
blue by 39.6
3314
#20
176.60.1
178.9178.8
Auto23.7
Teleop122.6
End31.8
Third
4099
#62
136.70.1
137.4137.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
blue by 39.8
503
#47
176.41.1
180.2179.1
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed94%Face the Boss oddsEarned