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Red345
910165.0
6401137.2
5205143.8
Blue389
7198132.8
4976184.0
3707209.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2684160100200500600700345389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#33
165.01.2
157.9159.1
Auto22.1
Teleop129.8
End13.6
blue by 44.5
209.40.8
201.1201.9
Auto23.6
Teleop152.3
End34.2
Second
5205
#24
143.80.4
138.7138.2
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
blue by 40.3
4976
#53
184.00.6
189.0188.4
Auto20.2
Teleop143.5
End23.1
Third
6401
#56
137.20.7
131.8132.5
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
red by 4.3
7198
#44
132.81.6
128.3129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsEarned