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Red314
1071152.4
558162.2
3244163.0
Blue411
1023191.0
4903165.5
2601144.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34040201,0001,5002,000314411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#19
163.01.1
160.7161.8
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
blue by 28.0
1023
#35
191.00.2
191.9191.8
Auto21.0
Teleop145.6
End23.6
Second
558
#14
162.21.5
155.7157.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
blue by 3.3
4903
#38
165.51.9
172.1170.2
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
Third
1071
#21
152.40.5
152.6152.1
Auto19.3
Teleop112.5
End23.5
red by 7.6
2601
#49
144.70.3
143.1143.4
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed