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Red379
236155.5
5205143.8
1741187.6
Blue288
6933159.6
4814138.4
3324137.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912850100200500600379288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
187.61.1
183.3184.4
Auto22.7
Teleop133.0
End32.3
red by 28.0
6933
#36
159.60.1
159.3159.4
Auto23.4
Teleop118.2
End18.3
Second
236
#17
155.51.4
148.9150.3
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
red by 17.2
4814
#57
138.40.8
142.1141.3
Auto18.9
Teleop105.9
End13.6
Third
5205
#24
143.80.3
138.2138.5
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
red by 6.7
3324
#43
137.11.2
132.1133.3
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed