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Red179
4099136.7
7250129.1
3082137.7
Blue451
3452201.4
5687197.6
2638167.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2064760100300400600700179451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#52
137.70.2
137.5137.3
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End26.4
blue by 63.7
201.40.6
195.7196.3
Auto20.3
Teleop148.0
End31.2
Second
4099
#62
136.70.1
137.6137.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
blue by 60.9
5687
#11
197.60.2
201.4201.6
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
Third
7250
#63
129.10.2
127.5127.7
Auto20.1
Teleop90.9
End18.7
blue by 38.3
2638
#28
167.41.9
170.4168.6
Auto18.0
Teleop124.5
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsEarned