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Red263
910165.0
1718176.7
7198132.8
Blue416
20169.3
302202.9
1684185.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2974150100200500600700263416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
176.70.3
178.7178.5
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
blue by 26.2
302
#25
202.91.5
207.2205.8
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
Second
910
#33
165.01.6
159.1160.7
Auto22.1
Teleop129.8
End13.6
blue by 20.8
1684
#10
185.81.8
176.7178.5
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Third
7198
#44
132.81.4
129.9131.4
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
blue by 36.5
20
#8
169.30.7
165.9166.6
Auto20.7
Teleop126.4
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned