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Red166
4976184.0
4384153.3
3314176.6
Blue367
126149.2
7021178.4
5460196.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358373200250300400450500166367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#53
184.00.4
188.4188.1
Auto20.2
Teleop143.5
End23.1
blue by 12.5
5460
#32
196.60.3
198.5198.1
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
3314
#20
176.60.3
178.8179.1
Auto23.7
Teleop122.6
End31.8
blue by 1.8
7021
#54
178.40.3
177.3177.6
Auto20.7
Teleop140.7
End17.3
Third
4384
#30
153.31.6
151.4153.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
red by 4.1
126
#26
149.22.5
145.1147.6
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed