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Red283
5553145.2
1741187.6
4814138.4
Blue452
195232.2
2052183.3
263160.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2804300100200500600700283452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
187.61.2
184.4185.6
Auto22.7
Teleop133.0
End32.3
blue by 44.6
195
#2
232.21.6
234.6233.0
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End33.2
Second
5553
#27
145.21.1
142.9144.0
Auto17.9
Teleop108.1
End19.7
blue by 38.1
2052
#23
183.31.7
186.6184.9
Auto26.2
Teleop137.5
End19.7
Third
4814
#57
138.40.8
141.3140.5
Auto18.9
Teleop105.9
End13.6
blue by 22.4
263
#22
160.80.0
159.7159.7
Auto18.9
Teleop123.1
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsEarned