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Red441
230217.8
302202.9
6401137.2
Blue219
2601144.7
45124.9
6933159.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212550100200300500600700441219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#6
217.80.3
214.6214.4
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
red by 58.2
6933
#36
159.60.0
159.4159.4
Auto23.4
Teleop118.2
End18.3
Second
302
#25
202.91.1
205.8204.6
Auto18.9
Teleop161.4
End20.8
red by 58.2
2601
#49
144.70.3
143.4143.7
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
Third
6401
#56
137.21.0
133.7134.7
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
red by 12.3
45
#58
124.91.1
128.4127.2
Auto18.4
Teleop90.8
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed