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Red393
558162.2
2826168.7
5205143.8
Blue360
2175173.8
503176.4
1718176.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303435200400500600700393360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#34
168.70.3
165.2165.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
blue by 8.0
1718
#15
176.70.6
178.5177.8
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
558
#14
162.21.1
157.2158.4
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
blue by 14.2
503
#47
176.40.1
178.5178.5
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Third
5205
#24
143.80.5
138.5139.0
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
blue by 30.0
2175
#40
173.80.6
172.9173.5
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed80%Face the Boss oddsEarned