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Red412
5712162.6
1684185.8
70177.8
Blue348
4342169.0
7021178.4
3538209.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483770100200300500600700412348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#10
185.81.5
178.5180.0
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
blue by 24.1
209.80.2
205.2205.1
Auto23.0
Teleop159.4
End29.6
Second
70
#13
177.81.4
180.6179.1
Auto21.8
Teleop135.4
End17.3
blue by 0.6
7021
#54
178.40.3
177.6177.9
Auto20.7
Teleop140.7
End17.3
Third
5712
#31
162.60.3
161.0160.7
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
blue by 6.4
4342
#59
169.01.8
173.6171.8
Auto23.4
Teleop113.4
End34.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsEarned39%Face the Boss oddsEarned