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Red281
333160.8
5907163.7
7198132.8
Blue432
5460196.6
3324137.1
1023191.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289422100200500600281432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#42
163.70.3
162.3161.9
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End22.0
blue by 32.8
5460
#32
196.60.3
198.1197.9
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
333
#64
160.80.1
162.6162.7
Auto22.3
Teleop121.3
End16.2
blue by 30.2
1023
#35
191.00.1
191.8191.7
Auto21.0
Teleop145.6
End23.6
Third
7198
#44
132.80.7
131.4132.1
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
blue by 4.3
3324
#43
137.10.8
133.3134.2
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed47%Face the Boss oddsEarned